Mind & EverydayMental model

Shoot first, then paint the target around the holes.

The fallacy arises when you search data for patterns and only then form the hypothesis. A 1993 Swedish study tested over 800 conditions near power lines; one stood out. Later work found no link – with 800 tests, a chance hit is expected.

Useful: For any surprising finding, ask: how many things were tested in total?

Source: en.wikipedia.org

Denkwerkzeuge

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