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The two-quarter rule is a rule of thumb, not a definition.

Popularly, an economy is in recession when real GDP shrinks for two consecutive quarters. In the United States, though, an NBER committee decides, looking at several indicators such as employment and income – sometimes months after the fact.

Useful: When headlines say "technical recession", they mean the rule of thumb, not an official verdict.

Source: de.wikipedia.org

BipKonjunkturStatistik

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Question on this card

Who officially dates US recessions?

  1. The White House
  2. The Fed
  3. An NBER committee
  4. Congress
Show the answer

Correct: An NBER committee

The NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee, using several indicators.

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